| Posted by: skc087 at June 28, 2008, 4:21 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Bourne101 "I think The Dark Knight will open well above the $100 million mark and will hold up very well with a great word of mouth and because there is no serious competition in its way. I'm talking like only 30-40% drops after the first weekend, maybe lower." You are right about Pirates of the Caribbean. There are 2 things that are going against Batman 1) The new movie Dark Knight is more than 2.5 hrs long....and I know that Pirates 2 was well over 2.5 hrs but still thats one thing that might turn some people off and 2) Its very very dark. I dont think that adults will take their kids to see this movie like they would with Iron Man or Indy | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Bourne101 at June 21, 2008, 6:45 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by skc087 I think that you might be wrong. It could do well in America but not overseas. Batman Begins only mad $166M overseas with a total of $371. I think that Dark Knight could open at around $85 and then make a total of like $285 in the US and then mabe another $215 overseas to a total of $500 World Wide but thats about it. I was referring to domestic (US and Canada) and I think it will definitely come out on top domestically. Worldwide, not likely. Indy pretty much owns the worldwide status, although I think The Dark Knight will do much better worldwide than Batman Begins did. Hell, you never know, it could be top in worldwide and domestic numbers. Realize that the popularity of Batman has increased massively since Batman Begins. I think it will go down similar to Pirates of the Caribbean. The first one opened with around $50 million, and went on to create a huge fan base, long after the theatrical release and then the second opens huge and finishes huge both domestically and wo... | | Read Entire Entry |
| Posted by: skc087 at June 21, 2008, 3:14 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by Bourne101 At this point, I nearly guarantee that The Dark Knight will be the highest grossing movie of the summer. I think that you might be wrong. It could do well in America but not overseas. Batman Begins only mad $166M overseas with a total of $371. I think that Dark Knight could open at around $85 and then make a total of like $285 in the US and then mabe another $215 overseas to a total of $500 World Wide but thats about it. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: ilovemovies at June 13, 2008, 2:47 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | At this point either The Dark Knight or potentially maybe Hancock I'm thinking will end up taking the top spot of the summer. That is unless Wall-E completely surprises and does that great. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: p_gautam at June 13, 2008, 2:38 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Indiana is gonna die out somewhere near 320 million and TDK is gonna cross that. All in all, TDK will own this summer. Iron Man will be a close 3rd to Indiana at around 320 too. Wall-E at 4th with 300+ | | Static Link |
| Posted by: skc087 at June 12, 2008, 1:40 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | As of June 11th, Indy 4 has already grossed $585M at the box office worldwide. Thats $257M in the US and $327 overseas. I think it will make atleast $300M total in the US and atleast $400 overseas and end at around $700M. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Jig Saw 123 at May 24, 2008, 8:40 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by skc087 I think so. I just checked the day 1 estimaes for Thursday the 22 and it looks like it has already made $25M. It is estimated that it will bring in about $125 for this weekend. Thats actually lower than most expected, everyone was saying this will make the same as Spider-Man, which is completely ridiculous. I doubt it will hold up like Iron Man did, which is still kicking ass... | | Static Link |
| Posted by: skc087 at May 24, 2008, 4:35 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by Jig Saw 123 Am I the only one who thinks Indy will not make as much as people are predicting. I think so. I just checked the day 1 estimaes for Thursday the 22 and it looks like it has already made $25M. It is estimated that it will bring in about $125 for this weekend. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: JoeChar4321 at May 12, 2008, 9:57 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by max314 On paper, Speed Racer has the potential to be the biggest movie of the Summer. Perhaps even the year. Quote: Originally Posted by JoeChar4321 The Happening and Speed Racer will be the bombs of the summer. Hmmmmmm... | | Static Link |
| Posted by: yorrick brown at May 8, 2008, 2:47 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by ilovemovies Ha. Looks like I underestimated Iron Man. I predicted it would do a total of 175 mil. It looks it will EASILY make 200 mil since it's already made 100 mil domestically in it's first week alone. It should make somewhere around 250 - 275 mil. Who knows, maybe it could even top 300. I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility at this point although it will have competition with Narnia and Indy and depending how it does this weekend, Speed Racer. yip me too, i said 67 mill opening and 180-190 mill gross. speed racer i say 2nd place with 42 mill opening. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: skc087 at May 7, 2008, 11:49 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by Badbird A third Mummy movie missing most of its original cast hardly has the clout of Bourne Ultimatum. Vegas is no Devil Wears Prada. Prada had some serious pedigree behind it (and marketing), Vegas just looks dumb. And no, Batman simply doesn't have the crossover appeal to make that much. Batman Begins just barely got over $200. So you're saying that this will be the most successful Batman movie of all time? Even though no Batman movie has come close to $300 million? I don't think so. If a bad Batman movie back in 1989 can make $250 then a good Batman movie in 2008 movie can certainly make $300M. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: ilovemovies at May 5, 2008, 9:18 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Ha. Looks like I underestimated Iron Man. I predicted it would do a total of 175 mil. It looks it will EASILY make 200 mil since it's already made 100 mil domestically in it's first week alone. It should make somewhere around 250 - 275 mil. Who knows, maybe it could even top 300. I don't think it's outside the realm of possibility at this point although it will have competition with Narnia and Indy and depending how it does this weekend, Speed Racer. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: dellamorte dellamore at May 5, 2008, 8:47 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | I wouldn't be so sure , kid's will eat up those day glo colors , i think SR has a chance to come out on top next weekend . About Batman , it's easily crossing 300 mil , think i predicted 330 mil or so . The anticipation for this one is much like it was for Bat 89 , it's going to dominate for at least 3 weeks . I don't understand how some people are predicting that it will only make a little more than BB , what are they smoking , because i want some , it's either Indy or Bat on top for the spring / summer season , and although i'm predicting Indy as the winner ( if not domestic , definitely worldwide like At world's End last year ) , there is a chance TDK will be number one . | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Bourne101 at May 4, 2008, 9:17 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | The first Pirates actually made $306 million domestically at the box-office, but I see where you are coming from. It opened to only $46 million, and great word of mouth and DVD sales lead to higher grossing sequels. I expect The Dark Knight to follow a similar path. Batman Begins opened with $48 million, and went on to a whopping $205 million, and great word of mouth and DVD sales of Begins, will ultimately make The Dark Knight much more successful.... that and the fact that it looks to be, and should be amazing. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Scarfather at May 4, 2008, 7:56 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | I expect The Dark Knight to do similar numbers to Dead Man's Chest. Remember that the first Pirates didn't do phenomenal at the box office either, however it grew such a following on DVD that the sequels soared. Let's just hope TDK is better then the meh fest that was DMC. Though Batman Begins is a better film than Black Pearl anyway, so we shouldn't sweat it. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Bourne101 at May 4, 2008, 6:38 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | The Dark Knight will make close to or more than $300 million. Its opening weekend will at least double Batman Begins' opening, and the word of mouth (which I expect will be great) should keep it atop the charts with small week to week drops, and virtually no competition. The Dark Knight will be huge. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Worthystevens at May 4, 2008, 6:32 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by Badbird A third Mummy movie missing most of its original cast hardly has the clout of Bourne Ultimatum. Vegas is no Devil Wears Prada. Prada had some serious pedigree behind it (and marketing), Vegas just looks dumb. And no, Batman simply doesn't have the crossover appeal to make that much. Batman Begins just barely got over $200. So you're saying that this will be the most successful Batman movie of all time? Even though no Batman movie has come close to $300 million? I don't think so. Batman '89 made $250 million... close enough to $300 million. Let's not forget the absolute GARGANTUAN anticipation for TDK. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Drewza89 at April 27, 2008, 2:53 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | May
Iron Man $225,000,000
Speed Racer $155,000,000
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian $170,000,000
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull $310,000,000 June
You Don't Mess with the Zohan $75,000,000
The Incredible Hulk $90,000,000
The Happening $75,000,000
Get Smart $80,000,000
The Love Guru $25,000,000
WALL·E $300,000,000
Wanted $40,000,000 July
Hancock $130,000,000
Meet Dave $35,000,000
The Dark Knight $295,000,000
Mamma Mia! $30,000,000
Step Brothers $35,000,000
The X-Files: I Want to Believe $75,000,000 August
The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor $95,000,000
Tropic Thunder $160,000,000 | | Static Link |
| Posted by: BanksIsDaFuture at April 27, 2008, 1:05 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Guess I'll take a stab at this. May: Iron Man - 220 million Speed Racer - 110 million What Happens In Vegas - 80 million The Chronicles of Narnia 2 - 200 million Indiana Jones - 325 million Sex & The City - 75 million June: Kung Fu Panda - 160 million You Don't Mess With The Zohan - 95 million Incredible Hulk - 80 million The Happening - 55 million Get Smart - 120 million Love Guru - 70 million Wall-E - 290 million Wanted - 110 million July: Hancock - 210 million Hellboy 2 - 85 million Meet Dave - 105 million The Dark Knight - 310 million Mamma Mia! - 55 million Step Brothers - 135 million The X-Files 2 - 65 million August: The Mummy 3 - 40 million Pineapple Express - 100 million Tropic Thunder - 140 million Babylon A.D. - 70 million | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Frank the Tank at April 27, 2008, 12:53 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Since I'm very bored, I'll take a shot at it: May: Iron Man - 178 million Speed Racer - 125 million What Happens In Vegas - 35 million Chronicals of Narnia 2 - 220 Million Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - 330 Million Sex And The City - 62 Million June: Kung Fu Panda - 95 Million You Don't Mess With The Zohan - 45 million (Probably won't happen, but the odd yet horrible plot could scare off Sandler fans) Incredible Hulk - 205 Million The Happening - 75 Million Get Smart - 65 Million The Love Guru - 55 Million Wall-E - 280 Million Wanted - 70 Million July: Hancock - 175 Million Meet Dave - 30 Million (Possibly lower, this looks like Pluto Nash 2 to me.) Hellboy 2 - 115 Million The Dark Night - 310 Million Mamma Mia - 69 Million Step Brothers - 83 Million The X Files 2 - 51 Million August: The Mummy 3 - 145 Million Journey 3-D - 45 Million Pineapple Express - 90 Million Tropic Thunder - 110 Million The International - 38 Million Dragonball - 19 Million Bangkok Dangerous - 25 Million Babylon ... | | Read Entire Entry |
| Posted by: Jig Saw 123 at April 26, 2008, 8:48 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | Iron Man: 202 Million
Speed Racer: 175 Million
The Chronicles of Narnia Prince Caspian: 240 Million
Indiana Jones IV: 255 Million
The Happening: 80 Million
The Incredible Hulk: 140 Million
Wall-E: 230 Million
Hellboy II: 95 Million
Hancock: 205 Million
The Dark Knight: 275 Million
The Mummy 3: 170 Million X-Files 2: 75 Million | | Static Link |
| Posted by: bigred760 at April 26, 2008, 8:26 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by franky4fingerz I cant see Narnia doing that well. I've seen zero marketing for it. Batman will finish 1st or 2nd, no way its coming in 6th. I've started seeing TV ads for it; it's still got another 3 weeks before it's released. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: CyclicNightmare at April 24, 2008, 11:47 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | EW released their list: 1. Indiana Jones and The Kingdom of the Crystal Skull (355.9 million)
2. The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian (310.8 million)
3. Hancock (280.4 million)
4. Wall-E (280.3 million)
5. Iron Man (267.7 million)
6. The Dark Knight (255.0 million)
7. Kung Fu Panda (244.6 million)
8. The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor (176.5 million)
9. The Incredible Hulk (147.2 million)
10. Tropic Thunder (146.6 million) Interesting. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Badbird at April 24, 2008, 1:02 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by skc087 WHATEVER HAPPENS IN VEGAS is a movie for everyone who doesnt like big action blockbusters. Remember just two years ago the Devil Wears Prada came out the same day as Superman Returns and made like $125US and $200+ Overseas. People will be tired of blockbusters by August? Last year some of the biggest movie that came out were in August! (Bourne Ultimatum, Rush Hour 3, Superbad) Dark Knight is too dark to make that kind of cash? WTF? Are you serious? Batman Begins was very dark and made $200+ Million and this one will have that fan base plus some and Heath Ledger fans will go so it even if they are not into Batman. I think it will clear $250 easily. Maybe $300. A third Mummy movie missing most of its original cast hardly has the clout of Bourne Ultimatum. Vegas is no Devil Wears Prada. Prada had some serious pedigree behind it (and marketing), Vegas just looks dumb. And no, Batman simply doesn't have the crossover appeal to make that much. Batman Begins just barely got over $... | | Read Entire Entry |
| Posted by: JoeChar4321 at April 24, 2008, 12:50 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by skc087 I looked at the numbers of the first Hellboy and it barely made a profit so I was very curious why they were making a part too but if it has a big fanbase then it just might do some damage at the box office. Hellboy has no chance simply because they chose to release it directly between Hancock and Dark Knight. Completely foolish. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: bigred760 at April 23, 2008, 10:58 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | What Happens in Vegas looks like most other romantic comedies: same ole jokes, gags, etc. I freakin' hate Cameron Diaz so I know I won't be seeing it. Something tells me it's not going to do very well at all. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: skc087 at April 23, 2008, 8:13 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by Kevin Smith fan I'm just saying what I'd expect these films to make. Definitley not saying their 100% accurate. I definitley don't see What Happens in Vegas crossing over 100 mill, Wanted looks worse than Jumper, and Hellboy got a lot of fans from DVD audience-plus the original was released on president's day as compared to the July release of the upcoming sequel. I guess I could agree with your criticisms about TT, X files, and maybe Sex. We'll see. Have you seen Jumper? It was a bag of shit inside of another bag of shit. Wanted looks really out there kinda like Shott Em Up but, it has Angelina Jolie and Morgan Freeman in it. You maybe completly right on Hellboy. I looked at the numbers of the first Hellboy and it barely made a profit so I was very curious why they were making a part too but if it has a big fanbase then it just might do some damage at the box office. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: skc087 at April 23, 2008, 8:08 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by Badbird I don't know much about Vegas, but the trailer looked stupid. Plus it's gonna get crushed by all the other big May/June movies. The first Narnia did great... in winter... with almost no competition. I see a large drop simply due to competition. I can't really imagine anyone still gives a shit about The Mummy. It comes out in August and everyone will be tired of blockbusters. And let's face it. Dark Knight is just too dark to make that kind of cash. It ain't Pirates of the Caribbean that inexplicably had entire families flocking to see it. WHATEVER HAPPENS IN VEGAS is a movie for everyone who doesnt like big action blockbusters. Remember just two years ago the Devil Wears Prada came out the same day as Superman Returns and made like $125US and $200+ Overseas. People will be tired of blockbusters by August? Last year some of the biggest movie that came out were in August! (Bourne Ultimatum, Rush Hour 3, Superbad) Dark Knight is too dark to make that kind of cash? WTF? Are yo... | | Read Entire Entry |
| Posted by: Kevin Smith fan at April 23, 2008, 4:11 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by skc087 Sorry to disappoint but SpeedRacer wont get anywhere near $190 What Happens in Vegas/Sex and the City will both make near $100 Tropic Thunder is R rated and it will do around $85 X-Files 2 will do around $70 Hellboy 1 only made like $100 and thats worldwide so it wont do $130 Wanted will be more like $130 I'm just saying what I'd expect these films to make. Definitley not saying their 100% accurate. I definitley don't see What Happens in Vegas crossing over 100 mill, Wanted looks worse than Jumper, and Hellboy got a lot of fans from DVD audience-plus the original was released on president's day as compared to the July release of the upcoming sequel. I guess I could agree with your criticisms about TT, X files, and maybe Sex. We'll see. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: Badbird at April 23, 2008, 1:02 pm | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by skc087 What Happens In Vegas Only $40? More like $100 atleast Mummy 3 only $60? More like $180 Narnia did $290 so the second will do atleast that much if not more $160 is way too low of a guess I am thinking more like $295 Hancock $240? You may be right about this, unfortunately. I hope it does $130 but people might just run out there July 4th and watch this. Dark Knight at $220? More like $290 I don't know much about Vegas, but the trailer looked stupid. Plus it's gonna get crushed by all the other big May/June movies. The first Narnia did great... in winter... with almost no competition. I see a large drop simply due to competition. I can't really imagine anyone still gives a shit about The Mummy. It comes out in August and everyone will be tired of blockbusters. And let's face it. Dark Knight is just too dark to make that kind of cash. It ain't Pirates of the Caribbean that inexplicably had entire families flocking to see it. | | Static Link |
| Posted by: skc087 at April 23, 2008, 5:36 am | | Topic: Summer 2008 Box-Office Predictions Thread Forum: JoBlo | | Quote: Originally Posted by Badbird Iron Man- $185 Million Speed Racer- $105 million What Happens in Vegas- $45 million... I guess Prince Caspian- $160 million Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull- $315 million Sex and the City- $55 million Kung Fu Panda- $110 million The Incredible Hulk- $90 million The Happening- $75 million The Love Guru- $55 million Wall-E- $290 million Wanted- $50 million Hancock- $240 million Hellboy II: The Golden Army- $75 million The Dark Knight- $220 million Step Brothers- $80 million X-Files 2- $60 million The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor- $60 million Pineapple Express- $90 million Tropic Thunder- $80 million??? Don't really know enough to make a prediction on this one. What Happens In Vegas Only $40? More like $100 atleast Mummy 3 only $60? More like $180 Narnia did $290 so the second will do atleast that much if not more $160 is way too low of a guess I am thinking more like $295 Hancock $240? You may be right about this, unfortunately. I hope it does $130 but... | | Read Entire Entry |
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